Press Gross domestic product up 0.4% in the 2nd quarter of 2016

Press release No. 279 of 12 August 2016

WIESBADEN – The German economy continues to grow. In the second quarter of 2016, the gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.4% on the first quarter of the year after adjustment for price, seasonal and calendar variations. At the beginning of the year 2016, a strong GDP growth of 0.7% had been recorded. 

The quarter-on-quarter comparison (upon adjustment for price, seasonal and calendar variations) shows that positive contributions came especially from the balance of exports and imports. According to provisional results, exports were up, while imports were slightly down compared with the first quarter of 2016. Both household final consumption expenditure and government final consumption expenditure supported growth, too. However, growth was slowed by weak gross capital formation. After a strong first quarter, a decline was recorded especially in gross fixed capital formation in machinery and equipment and in construction. 

Economic growth accelerated year on year, too. The price-adjusted GDP rose 3.1% in the second quarter of 2016, which was the largest increase in five years. Adjusted for the exceptionally high calendar effect, the GDP growth was 1.8% after 1.9% (unadjusted 1.5%) in the first quarter of 2016. 

The economic performance in the second quarter of 2016 was achieved by 43.5 million persons in employment in the domestic territory, which was an increase of 529,000 or 1.2% on a year earlier. 

As every year in August, the Federal Statistical Office also reviewed and revised where necessary the results published previously for the last four years (from 2012) and for the first quarter of 2016 in the context of the first calculation of data for the second quarter of 2016. Modifications of the seasonally and calendar-adjusted results may appear in the whole time series from 1991 onwards. 

The current recalculation resulted in change rates of the annual and quarterly GDP that differ from the data published previously by up to 0.2 percentage points. Especially the GDP change rates for the quarters and years of 2012 and 2013 were revised upwards (see table "Comparison between previous and new figures, gross domestic product, price-adjusted, chain-linked"). 

These regular revisions are routinely carried out to incorporate new statistical information in the relevant calculations. Thus the statistical data basis for calculating the GDP and other macroeconomic aggregates is becoming increasingly reliable. The source statistics required for the 'final' calculation of national accounts results are available in a complete manner after four years at the latest so that the results will only then be final and will require no further regular revision.

Gross domestic product
Price-adjusted, chain-linked
 Unadjusted figuresFigures according to Census X-12-ARIMA
Seasonally and
calendar-adjusted
Calendar-adjusted 1Calendar-effect
2010 = 100%22010 = 100%32010 = 100%2%2
1 For years the calendar-adjusted values are identical with the seasonally and calendar-adjusted values (except for differences due to rounding).
2 Change on the previous year or the same quarter of the preceding year in %.
3 Change on the previous year or previous quarter in %.
qtr = quarter
2012 104.17 0.5 104.22 0.7 104.22 0.7 –0.2 
2013104.68 0.5 104.84 0.6 104.84 0.6 –0.1 
2014106.35 1.6 106.51 1.6 106.51 1.6  0.0 
2015108.18 1.7 108.09 1.5 108.09 1.5  0.2 
20121st qtr104.40 1.6 104.17 0.4 103.65 1.1  0.5 
2nd qtr103.14 0.4 104.26 0.1 103.45 0.9 –0.5 
3rd qtr105.96 0.2 104.47 0.2 106.37 0.7 –0.5 
4th qtr103.19–0.1 103.97–0.5 103.39 0.1 –0.3 
20131st qtr102.87–1.5 103.79–0.2 103.35– 0.3 –1.2 
2nd qtr104.04 0.9 104.74 0.9 103.93 0.5  0.4 
3rd qtr107.19 1.2 105.21 0.4 107.10 0.7  0.5 
4th qtr104.60 1.4 105.60 0.4 104.97 1.5 –0.2 
20141st qtr105.55 2.6 106.23 0.6 105.82 2.4  0.2 
2nd qtr105.02 0.9 106.12–0.1 105.31 1.3 –0.4 
3rd qtr108.43 1.2 106.42 0.3 108.29 1.1  0.1 
4th qtr106.38 1.7 107.26 0.8 106.60 1.6  0.1 
20151st qtr106.89 1.3 107.44 0.2 107.05 1.2  0.1 
2nd qtr106.89 1.8 108.00 0.5 107.20 1.8 –0.0 
3rd qtr110.35 1.8 108.26 0.2 110.13 1.7  0.1 
4th qtr108.59 2.1 108.65 0.4 107.97 1.3  0.8 
20161st qtr108.50 1.5 109.42 0.7 109.05 1.9 –0.4 
2nd qtr110.22 3.1 109.87 0.4 109.09 1.8  1.3 
Gross domestic product at current prices
 Unadjusted figuresSeasonally and calendar-adjusted
figures according to
Census X-12-ARIMA
EUR billionChange in %1EUR billionChange in %2

1 Change on the previous year or the same quarter of the preceding year in %.
2 Change on the previous year or previous quarter in %.

qtr = quarter

20122,758.260 2.0 2,759.456 2.2 
20132,826.240 2.5 2,830.637 2.6 
20142,923.930 3.5 2,928.326 3.5 
20153,032.820 3.7 3,030.124 3.5 
20121st qtr682.730 3.0 685.000 0.7 
2nd qtr678.150 1.8 687.947 0.4 
3rd qtr701.300 1.8 693.270 0.8 
4th qtr696.080 1.6 693.239–0.0 
20131st qtr685.460 0.4 695.592 0.3 
2nd qtr698.330 3.0 705.446 1.4 
3rd qtr723.160 3.1 711.892 0.9 
4th qtr719.290 3.3 717.707 0.8 
20141st qtr716.380 4.5 725.203 1.0 
2nd qtr718.530 2.9 728.343 0.4 
3rd qtr744.380 2.9 732.875 0.6 
4th qtr744.640 3.5 741.905 1.2 

2015

1st qtr739.410 3.2 747.687 0.8 
2nd qtr745.990 3.8 755.934 1.1 
3rd qtr771.660 3.7 759.597 0.5 
4th qtr775.760 4.2 766.906 1.0 
20161st qtr763.180 3.2 774.278 1.0 
2nd qtr780.340 4.6 780.027 0.7 
Comparison between old and new figures - gross domestic product, price-adjusted, chain-linked
 New resultPrevious result
chain index

(2010 = 100)
percentage change 1chain index

(2005 = 100)
percentage change 1

1 Seasonally and calendar-adjusted figures: change on the previous year or previous quarter in %; unadjusted figures: change on the previous year or the same quarter of the preceding year in %.

qtr = quarter

Seasonally and calendar-adjusted figures according to Census X-12-ARIMA
2012104.220.7104.130.6
2013104.840.6104.560.4
2014106.511.6106.211.6
2015108.091.5107.751.4
20121st qtr104.170.4104.130.4
2nd qtr104.260.1104.190.1
3rd qtr104.470.2104.360.2
4th qtr103.97–0.5103.85–0.5
20131st qtr103.79–0.2103.57–0.3
2nd qtr104.740.9104.510.9
3rd qtr105.210.4104.900.4
4th qtr105.600.4105.240.3
20141st qtr106.230.6105.990.7
2nd qtr106.12–0.1105.93–0.1
3rd qtr106.420.3106.130.2
4th qtr107.260.8106.780.6
20151st qtr107.440.2107.210.4
2nd qtr108.000.5107.630.4
3rd qtr108.260.2107.930.3
4th qtr108.650.4108.220.3
20161st qtr109.420.7108.940.7
2nd qtr109.870.4xx
Unadjusted figures
2012104.170.5104.080.4
2013104.680.5104.390.3
2014106.351.6106.061.6
2015108.181.7107.851.7
20121st qtr104.401.6104.331.5
2nd qtr103.140.4103.060.3
3rd qtr105.960.2105.880.1
4th qtr103.19–0.1103.07–0.3
20131st qtr102.87–1.5102.58–1.7
2nd qtr104.040.9103.790.7
3rd qtr107.191.2106.921.0
4th qtr104.601.4104.281.2
20141st qtr105.552.6105.272.6
2nd qtr105.020.9104.811.0
3rd qtr108.431.2108.201.2
4th qtr106.381.7105.951.6
20151st qtr106.891.3106.601.3
2nd qtr106.891.8106.501.6
3rd qtr110.351.8110.081.7
4th qtr108.592.1108.212.1

2016

1st qtr108.501.5107.951.3
2nd qtr110.223.1xx

More detailed results will be released by the Federal Statistical Office on 24 August 2016.

A long time series with quarterly results on the gross domestic product starting with the first quarter of 1970 is available here.

More on this topic