Press release No. 511 of 2 December 2022
- Population projection examines demographic development until 2070
- The number of people at retirement age (67 or over) will grow massively in the 2020s and 2030s
- In the 2040s, the number of people aged 80 or over will increase, as will probably the need for long-term care
- The number of people at working age will decrease by between 1.6 and 4.8 million in the next 15 years
- If net immigration remains at the level of the past decade, roughly 90 million people will live in Germany in 2070
WIESBADEN/BERLIN – The number of people at retirement age (67 years or over) in Germany will rise by roughly 4 million to at least 20.0 million until the middle of the 2030s. The number of those aged 80 or over will remain relatively stable until the middle of the 2030s, amounting to between 5.8 and 6.7 million. Afterwards, the number of very old people in Germany will increase massively, as will probably the need for long-term care as a result. These are the main results of the 15th coordinated population projection of the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis). “From the middle of the 2030s, the baby boomer cohorts will come into the age group of those aged 80 or over. In the 2050s and 2060s, between 7 and 10 million very old people will live in Germany”, Dr. Karsten Lummer, head of the “Population” department, said at the press conference (only in german) on the population projection held in Berlin on 2 December 2022. “Basically, these changes in the population structure are already visible in today's age structure. We will have to deal with this ageing process and the challenges it brings for the society”, Lummer also said.
