Press Gross domestic product: detailed gross domestic product results for the 2nd quarter of 2021

German economy recovers from the consequences of the coronavirus pandemic – gross domestic product still 3.3% below pre-crisis level

Press release No. 398 of 24 August 2021

Gross domestic product, 2nd quarter of 2021
+1.6% on the previous quarter (price-, seasonally and calendar-adjusted)
+9.8% on the same quarter a year earlier (price-adjusted)
+9.4% on the same quarter a year earlier (price- and calendar-adjusted)

WIESBADEN – The gross domestic product (GDP) rose by 1.6% in the second quarter of 2021 compared with the first quarter of 2021 after adjustment for price, seasonal and calendar variations. After the coronavirus crisis had caused another decline in economic performance at the beginning of 2021 (-2.0% in the first quarter, according to most recent calculations), the German economy recovered in the second quarter. The Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) reports that the increase by 0.1 percentage points was larger than reported in the first release of 30 July 2021. Compared with the fourth quarter of 2019, the quarter before the coronavirus crisis began, GDP was 3.3% lower.

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Gross domestic product, price-adjusted (figures adjusted for seasonal and calendar effects using X13)
Changes on a quarter earlier (percent):
201920202021
1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr
1.1-0.50.4-0.1-1.8-10.09.00.7-2.01.6

Domestic demand substantially up

As the restrictions imposed during the coronavirus pandemic were more and more reduced, final consumption expenditure in the second quarter of 2021 was markedly up compared with the beginning of the year. Household final consumption expenditure increased by 3.2% on the first quarter (price-, seasonally and calendar-adjusted), while government final consumption expenditure rose by 1.8%. Gross fixed capital formation, too, was slightly higher than at the beginning of the year. Gross fixed capital formation in machinery and equipment increased by 0.3%, after adjustment for price, seasonal and calendar variations, as did gross fixed capital formation in construction.

Foreign trade, too, was up on the first quarter of 2021. In the second quarter of 2021, exports of goods and services were up 0.5% compared with the first quarter of 2021, after price, seasonal and calendar adjustment. There was a larger quarter-on-quarter increase in imports (+2.1%).


Gross value added up in service sector and down in industry

In the second quarter of 2021, the price-, seasonally and calendar-adjusted gross value added increased by 1.0%. However, individual economic sectors showed diverging trends. Gross value added was up, in part markedly, in public services, education, health (+3.8%) and in trade, transport, accommodation and food services (+1.1%), whereas it rose just slightly in construction (+0.1%) as compared to the first quarter of 2021. In contrast, manufacturing recorded a 1.3% decrease of gross value added in the second quarter of 2021.

Marked increase of gross domestic product, year on year

GDP in the second quarter of 2021 was up a price-adjusted 9.8% and a price- and calendar adjusted 9.4% compared with the second quarter of 2020, when the economic performance had been sharply down as a result of the coronavirus crisis.

Gross domestic product, price-adjusted
Changes on a year earlier in percent:
201920202021
1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr
1.50.11.80.7-1.5-11.3-3.6-1.9-3.39.8

Domestic and foreign demand up on a year earlier

Domestic demand grew markedly also year on year. Household final consumption expenditure rose by a price-adjusted 6.0% in the second quarter of 2021, government final consumption expenditure by 3.7%. Gross fixed capital formation in machinery and equipment was markedly up in the second quarter of 2021 (+20.4%), following the massive slump in the same quarter of the previous year. Gross fixed capital formation in construction, too, grew 2.9% on the second quarter of 2020.

Substantial increases were also recorded for foreign trade compared with the second quarter of 2020 that had been particularly affected by the first coronavirus wave. Exports of goods and services rose by 26.5% (price-adjusted) in the second quarter of 2021 on the same quarter of the previous year. There was a slightly smaller increase in imports (+20.1%) over the same period. The increase in German exports of goods was larger than the increase in imports of goods. In the second quarter of 2021, German exports and imports of services, too, rose for the first time after four quarters of sharp declines.

Gross value added up in almost all economic sectors compared with a year earlier

After two-digit decreases in price-adjusted gross value added had been recorded for many economic sectors in summer 2020, economic performance in the second quarter of 2021 was markedly up on the second quarter of 2020 in almost all economic sectors. The largest increase was observed in manufacturing (+21.9%), followed by trade, transport, accommodation and food services (+11.0%) and public services, education, health (+10.2%). Substantial increases in gross value added on the second quarter of 2020 were also recorded for business services (+9.6%) and other services (+8.1%), which include entertainment and recreation. Construction recorded a relatively small increase in gross value added (+0.5%).

Total price-adjusted gross value added in the second quarter of 2021 was up 10.0% on the second quarter of 2020.

Year-on-year decline in employment coming to a halt

The economic performance in the second quarter of 2021 was achieved by roughly 44.7 million persons in employment whose place of employment was in Germany. This means that the number of persons in employment was nearly unchanged on the second quarter of 2020 (+4,000; 0.0%; see press release 389/21 of 17 August 2021). The year-on-year decline in employment did not continue whereas in the first quarter of 2021, the year-on-year rate of change had still been -1.5%. This development is mainly due to the sharp fall in employment figures in the second quarter of 2020 caused by the coronavirus crisis.

The average number of hours worked per person in employment rose considerably by 6.8% in the second quarter of 2021 compared with the same quarter a year earlier according to first provisional results of the Institute for Employment Research of the Federal Employment Agency. The labour volume of the overall economy, which is the total number of hours worked by all persons in employment, rose also by 6.8% in the same period. This development, too, was influenced by the sharp fall observed in the same month of the previous year. In addition, this shows that short-time work was less often applied, which is not reflected in the number of persons in employment, but in the number of hours worked.

Overall labour productivity (price-adjusted GDP per hour worked by persons in employment) rose by 2.8% on the same quarter of the previous year, according to provisional calculations. As the number of persons in employment was almost unchanged on a year earlier, labour productivity per person in employment rose by 9.8% on the second quarter of 2020, as did the GDP.

Savings ratio slightly down on a year earlier

At current prices, the GDP rose by 11.0% and the gross national income by 10.9% in the second quarter of 2021 compared with a year earlier. The increase in net national income at factor costs (+12.8%) was even larger. According to first provisional calculations, the compensation of employees was up by just 4.9% year on year, while property and entrepreneurial income rose sharply by 40.6%. However, in the same quarter of the previous year, the decrease in compensation of employees (-3.2%) had been much smaller than that of property and entrepreneurial income (-27.2%). Gross wages and salaries of employees in the second quarter of 2021 were by 5.4% higher than in the second quarter of 2020, net wages and salaries by 6.5%. When calculated as an average per employee, wages and salaries increased slightly less markedly (+5.2% in gross terms, +6.2% in net terms). The disposable income of households was by 3.4% higher than a year earlier. At the same time, household final consumption expenditure at current prices increased by 8.0%, following four quarters of year-on-year decreases in a row. As the increase in household final consumption expenditure was larger than that of disposable income, households now saved less than in the same quarter of the previous year. According to provisional calculations, a savings ratio of 16.3% was calculated for the second quarter of 2021, following 22.0% in the previous quarter and 19.8% in the second quarter of 2020. However, the saving propensity was still at a relatively high level.

International and European comparison

In the second quarter of 2021, many Member States of the European Union (EU) recorded a stronger economic growth on the previous quarter than Germany. The price-, seasonally and calendar-adjusted GDP was up by 2.8% in Spain and 2.7% in Italy on the first quarter of 2021, thus exceeding the increase in Germany by more than one percentage point (+1.6%). France, in contrast, recorded a more moderate rise of 0.9%. According to provisional calculations, the Statistical Office of the European Union (Eurostat) reported a GDP rise of 2.0% on the previous quarter for the EU as a whole. The economic performance of the United States (+1.6%, converted figure) increased as much as the German GDP in the second quarter of 2021.

The GDP growth rates of most EU Member States are higher than Germany’s GDP growth rate also in a year-on-year comparison. Spain (+19.8%), France (+18.7%) and Italy (+17.3%) recorded a markedly stronger economic growth on the second quarter of 2020 than Germany (+9.4%) after price, seasonally and calendar adjustment. Among others, this is due to the fact that the economic performance of these countries had worsened much more in the course of the first coronavirus wave one year ago. For the whole EU, Eurostat released a preliminary result of +13.2% on the same quarter of the previous year. The United States reported a 12.2% increase of GDP (converted figure).

Gross domestic product, price, seasonally and calendar adjusted, 2nd quarter 2021
Percentage change:
 USAEurorareaEU27FranceItalySpainGermany
Previous quarter: change compared to the 1st quarter of 2021;
Quarter of the previous year: Change compared to the 2nd quarter of 2020.
Previous quarter1.62.01.90.92.72.81.6
Quarter of the previous year12.213.613.218.717.319.89.4

A detailed comparison of the EU Member States’ growth rates is available on our web page “Europe in figures”.


Gross domestic product
 Unadjusted figuresFigures according to X13
price-adjusted
At current pricesPrice-adjustedSeasonally and
calendar-adjusted
Calendar-
adjusted
EUR billion% 12015 = 100% 12015 = 100% 2% 1 3
1 Change on the previous year or the same quarter of the preceding year in %.
2 Change on the previous year or quarter in %.
3 As for years the calendar-adjusted values equal the seasonally and calendar-adjusted values (except for differences due to rounding).
qtr = quarter
20163,134.743.6102.232.2102.042.12.1
20173,267.164.2104.972.7105.093.03.0
20183,367.863.1106.111.1106.251.11.1
20193,473.353.1107.231.1107.401.11.1
20203,367.56-3.0102.33-4.6102.12-4.9-4.9
20161st qtr762.953.5100.112.2101.470.82.5
2nd qtr779.085.0102.023.6101.890.42.2
3rd qtr788.983.0102.931.9102.240.32.0
4th qtr803.732.9103.861.4102.560.31.9
20171st qtr798.844.7103.713.6103.811.22.4
2nd qtr801.192.8103.391.3104.620.82.7
3rd qtr823.944.4105.702.7105.540.93.2
4th qtr843.194.9107.083.1106.390.83.7
20181st qtr824.403.2105.171.4105.93-0.42.1
2nd qtr833.724.1105.662.2106.520.61.8
3rd qtr842.902.3106.160.4106.07-0.40.5
4th qtr866.842.8107.450.3106.480.40.1
20191st qtr852.623.4106.791.5107.601.11.6
2nd qtr852.192.2105.790.1107.07-0.50.5
3rd qtr876.754.0108.081.8107.510.41.3
4th qtr891.792.9108.240.7107.43-0.10.9
20201st qtr859.810.8105.17-1.5105.54-1.8-1.9
2nd qtr774.06-9.293.80-11.394.99-10.0-11.3
3rd qtr853.38-2.7104.20-3.6103.589.0-3.7
4th qtr880.31-1.3106.17-1.9104.350.7-2.9
20211st qtr847.16-1.5101.65-3.3102.26-2.0-3.1
2nd qtr859.2711.0103.029.8103.931.69.4
Comparison between old and new figures - gross domestic product, price-adjusted
New result Previous resultDifference
Figures adjusted for
seasonal and calendar
effects using X13
Unadjusted
figures
Figures adjusted for
seasonal and calendar
effects using X13
Unadjusted
figures
Figures adjusted for
seasonal and calendar
effects using X13
Unadjusted
figures
1 Seasonally and calendar-adjusted figures: change on previous quarter;
unadjusted figures: change on previous year's quarter.
qtr = quarter
Change, percent 1Percentage points
20211st qtr-2.0-3.3-2.1-3.40.10.1
2nd qtr1.69.81.59.60.10.2
Use of the gross domestic product, unadjusted figures 
 20202021
1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr

1 Including acquisitions less disposals of valuables and the statistical difference between production and expenditure approach.

qtr = quarter             

 At current prices, EUR bn.
Final consumption expenditure 615.572 577.677 627.929 641.375 595.057 617.180
Household final consumption expenditure 436.219 394.230 441.600 435.929 403.743 425.613
Government final consumption expenditure 179.353 183.447 186.329 205.446 191.314 191.567
Gross capital formation 194.799 163.156 175.203 179.048 192.769 191.347
Gross fixed capital formation 174.207 177.085 186.102 198.475 174.555 196.485
Gross fixed capital formation in construction 89.645 97.528 98.602 94.289 89.373 105.258
Gross fixed capital formation in machinery and equipment 51.287 46.909 53.748 64.959 52.253 57.352
Other fixed assets 33.275 32.648 33.752 39.227 32.929 33.875
Changes in inventories 1 20.592-13.929-10.899-19.427 18.214-5.138
Domestic uses 810.371 740.833 803.132 820.423 787.826 808.527
Exports 394.747 310.719 364.953 391.671 397.183 409.110
Imports 345.308 277.492 314.705 331.784 337.849 358.367
Gross domestic product 859.810 774.060 853.380 880.310 847.160 859.270
 Price-adjusted, change on the same quarter of the preceding year in %
Final consumption expenditure-0.1-8.6-1.3-2.9-5.75.3
Household final consumption expenditure-1.1-13.2-3.4-5.7-9.16.0
Government final consumption expenditure2.53.54.04.22.53.7
Gross capital formation-1.2-8.4-11.4-4.5-0.611.8
Gross fixed capital formation0.2-7.4-3.11.5-1.47.5
Gross fixed capital formation in construction5.40.7-0.65.1-2.12.9
Gross fixed capital formation in machinery and equipment-9.4-23.6-9.5-2.90.520.4
Other fixed assets3.8-1.30.31.3-2.22.6
Domestic uses-0.3-8.5-3.7-3.3-4.56.7
Exports-3.1-22.1-9.1-3.1-0.526.5
Imports-0.6-17.3-10.1-6.4-2.820.1
Gross domestic product (GDP)-1.5-11.3-3.6-1.9-3.39.8
Memorandum items:
GDP per person in employment-2.0-10.3-2.3-0.6-1.99.8
GDP per hour worked by persons in employment0.7-1.30.22.20.92.8
 Contributions to growth of price-adjusted GDP in % points
Final consumption expenditure-0.1-6.2-1.0-2.1-4.13.9
Houshold final consumption expenditure-0.6-6.9-1.8-3.0-4.63.0
Government final consumption expenditure0.50.70.80.90.50.9
Gross capital formation-0.3-1.8-2.6-1.0-0.12.6
Gross fixed capital formation0.0-1.6-0.70.3-0.31.7
Gross fixed capital formation in construction0.50.1-0.10.5-0.20.4
Gross fixed capital formation in machinery and equipment-0.6-1.7-0.6-0.20.01.2
Other fixed assets0.1-0.10.00.1-0.10.1
Changes in inventories 1-0.3-0.2-1.9-1.30.10.8
Domestic uses-0.3-8.0-3.6-3.1-4.36.5
Balance of exports and imports-1.2-3.3-0.11.20.93.3

 

Use of the gross domestic product
Seasonally and calendar-adjusted figures using X13
 20202021
1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr

1 Only seasonally adjusted.

2 Including acquisitions less disposals of valuables and the statistical difference between production and expenditure approach
qtr = quarter

At current prices
EUR bn
Price-adjusted, change on the previous quarter in %
Final consumption expenditure-1.2-8.08.4-1.6-3.82.8
Household final consumption expenditure-2.1-11.511.5-2.7-5.23.2
Government final consumption expenditure0.90.81.70.9-0.71.8
Gross fixed capital formation-0.1-6.94.52.4-0.70.5
Gross fixed capital formation in construction
4.0-3.5-0.92.9-0.20.3
Gross fixed capital formation in machinery and equipment-6.7-14.816.71.9-0.40.3
Other fixed assets0.6-3.52.31.8-2.61.3
Domestic uses-0.8-8.15.6-0.3-1.12.4
Exports-3.4-20.117.54.61.40.5
Imports-1.5-16.99.32.74.22.1
Gross domestic product (GDP)-1.8-10.09.00.7-2.01.6
memorandum item: 
GDP per person in employment-1.8-8.89.20.7-1.91.5
GDP per hour worked by persons in employment 10.3-2.01.72.3-1.0-0.1
Contributions to growth of price-adjusted GDP
in % points
Final consumption expenditure-0.9-5.86.2-1.2-2.72.0
Household final consumption expenditure-1.1-6.05.8-1.4-2.61.6
Government final consumption expenditure0.20.20.40.2-0.20.4
Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF)0.0-1.5-1.00.5-0.20.1
GFCF in construction0.4-0.4-0.10.30.00.0
GFCF in machinery and equipment-0.5-1.01.00.10.00.0
Other fixed assets0.0-0.10.10.1-0.10.1
Changes in inventories 20.1-0.4-1.80.51.90.1
Domestic uses-0.8-7.75.5-0.2-1.02.2
Balance of exports and imports (net exports)-1.0-2.33.61.0-1.0-0.6

  

Gross value added by economic sector
 20202021
1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr
At current prices
EUR bn
Agriculture, forestry and fishing6.4266.5426.0825.7126.1476.668
Industry, excluding construction190.761154.679176.644192.251189.855187.670
including:
Manufacturing162.579131.637152.315163.953161.382162.799
Construction36.96442.80844.77553.24737.17746.547
Trade, transport, accommodation and food services119.049109.188126.604125.110113.317125.785
Information and communication39.17334.59339.54040.16640.55437.722
Financial and insurance activities30.41330.27730.55930.56630.25330.321
Real estate activities83.90082.08286.46784.59086.97585.240
Business services89.89574.58686.33186.59587.00783.375
Public services, education, health149.325136.416150.174156.753150.492147.086
Other services29.80324.12530.33726.81427.48926.630
Gross value added, total775.709695.296777.513801.804769.266777.044
Price-adjusted, change on the same quarter of the preceding year in %
Agriculture, forestry and fishing2.41.31.71.4-3.0-3.8
Industry, excluding construction-5.1-21.3-9.5-1.3-1.919.8
including:
Manufacturing-5.2-22.9-10.5-1.4-1.821.9
Construction6.11.9-1.89.0-5.00.5
Trade, transport, accommodation and food services0.3-14.9-2.7-2.9-7.811.0
Information and communication0.7-4.4-1.10.50.77.9
Financial and insurance activities0.40.81.3-0.4-0.8-0.2
Real estate activities0.0-1.60.2-0.4-0.31.6
Business services-1.4-13.4-8.2-6.9-6.19.6
Public services, education, health-0.5-8.90.0-3.8-3.110.2
Other services-2.7-19.7-3.9-16.0-10.58.1
Gross value added, total-1.3-11.9-3.9-2.4-3.710.0
Distribution of gross national income
20202021
1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr
At current prices
EUR bn
Gross national income887.349786.933875.875911.128875.476872.977
Net national income (factor costs)642.522563.244642.809679.658644.657635.199
Compensation of employees447.094439.397456.546509.068445.261461.091
Property and entrepreneurial income195.428123.847186.263170.590199.396174.108
Gross wages and salaries of employees366.174355.860374.109417.914361.978375.197
Net wages and salaries of employees246.383234.804258.096282.055245.056249.986
memorandum item:
Disposable income of households505.976477.031493.436498.777502.836493.358
Savings ratio (in %)16.219.813.115.322.016.3
Price-adjusted, change on the same quarter of the preceding year in %
Gross national income0.3-9.2-3.4-1.7-1.310.9
Net national income (factor costs)0.1-9.8-2.8-0.30.312.8
Compensation of employees2.9-3.2-0.70.4-0.44.9
Property and entrepreneurial income-5.6-27.2-7.4-2.22.040.6
Gross wages and salaries of employees2.9-4.4-1.20.1-1.15.4
Net wages and salaries of employees2.9-3.8-0.61.1-0.56.5
memorandum item:
Disposable income of households2.8-1.40.80.8-0.63.4

Revision of previous results and methodological notes

The greater uncertainties caused by the coronavirus pandemic may lead to larger revisions than usual. This applies in particular to the seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data. In addition to the calculations for the last four years, the models and parameters of seasonal and calendar adjustment were adjusted as part of the summer calculations, which is done at regular intervals.

Compared with the first release of 30 July 2021, minor changes of the results published so far have become necessary only in the first and second quarters of 2021 for the gross domestic product. Detailed data on the recalculations are shown in the table “Comparison between old and new figures” in this press release.

Visualised national accounts

The gross domestic product also forms part of the Crisis Monitor (www.destatis.de/krisenmonitor), by means of which the Federal Statistical Office compares the development of major short-term indicators in the corona crisis and the financial and economic crisis of 2008/2009. The Crisis Monitor complements the „Corona statistics“ webpage (www.destatis.de/corona), which provides statistical information on the economic and social consequences of the coronavirus pandemic. Visualised updated results are also available in our interactive national accounts dashboard (only in german).

More information
More information on the quality of the GDP early estimate and on why the Federal Statistical Office for the first time released the more rapid calculation of the GDP just now during the coronavirus pandemic is given in our podcast at www.destatis.de --> Themen --> Wirtschaft --> Volkswirtschaftliche-Gesamtrechnungen-Inlandsprodukt --> Aktuelles. For an English-language text version please go to www.destatis.de --> Themes --> Economy --> National accounts, domestic product --> Current news.

Destatis website offers comparison between corona crisis and financial/economic crisis

More detailed results have been published in Fachserie 18 “National Accounts“, Series 1.2 “Quarterly results“ and Series 1.3„Seasonally adjusted quarterly results using X13“.

The above and other current national accounting results are available in the GENESIS-Online database. (81000)

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