Press Consumer prices in February 2016: unchanged on February 2015

Low prices of energy products had a downward effect on the inflation rate again

Press release No. 091 of 11 March 2016

WIESBADEN – Consumer prices in Germany in February 2016 were on the same level as in February 2015. The inflation rate as measured by the consumer price index fell to 0.0% in February 2016. In January 2016 it had been +0.5%. The consumer price index rose by 0.4% in February 2016 compared with January 2016. The Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) thus confirms its provisional overall results of 26 February 2016.

The development of energy prices has had a downward effect on the overall rise in prices since July 2014. Energy prices as a whole were markedly down again in February 2016 from a year earlier (–8.5%). The decrease of energy prices accelerated in comparison with the previous months. In February 2016, especially prices of heating oil (–33.6%) were down year on year, as well as motor fuels (–11.0%). In addition to that, the prices of all other energy products were also still below the level of the preceding year (for example, charges for central and district heating: –9.4%; gas: –2.5%). Excluding energy prices, the inflation rate would have been markedly higher (+0.9%) in February 2016.

Food prices rose by 0.8% in February 2016 compared with February 2015. Prices of fruit were notably higher (+5.8%) than a year earlier. Price increases were also recorded, among other things, for fish and fish products (+2.7%) and for vegetables (+1.7%). In contrast, consumers paid less than a year earlier especially for dairy products (–3.9%).

The prices of goods (total) fell by 1.1% in February 2016 compared with February 2015, the main reason being the decrease in energy prices. Lower prices were also recorded for coffee, tea and cocoa (–3.0%) as well as articles and products for personal care (–1.3%). Prices to the consumer were markedly up not only for food (total) but also for some other goods such as jewellery, clocks and watches (+6.7%), newspapers and periodicals (+4.7%) and tobacco products (+3.9%).

Compared with the overall inflation rate, the prices of services (total) rose above average (0.9%) in February 2016 on February 2015. This price rise was mainly due to the increase in net rents exclusive of heating expenses (+1.1%), for which households spend roughly a fifth of their consumption expenditure. Other year-on-year price increases were observed for catering (+2.4%), transport services and insurance services (+1.5% each). The prices of package holidays, however, were markedly down year on year (–5.7%).

Price declines were recorded also for air tickets (–1.2%) and telecommunications services (–1.6%).

Change in February 2016 on January 2016
Compared with January 2016, the consumer price index rose by 0.4% in February 2016. Due to the continuing sharp decline in crude oil prices, lower prices were observed month on month for both mineral oil products (–2.2%, of which supergrade petrol: –2.6%) and household energy (–0.3%, of which heating oil: –0.5%; charges for central and district heating: –0.8%). The prices of energy in general were down 0.9% in February 2016 on January 2016.

The increase in total consumer prices on the previous month was mainly due to seasonal factors. Especially package holiday prices (+9.0%) were higher than in January 2016. Higher prices were also recorded for vegetables (+2.7%, of which cucumbers: +29.9%), fruit (+2.4%, of which citrus fruit: +5.9%) as well as products and non-durable consumer goods for gardening (+1.4%, of which cut flowers: +4.1%). Price increases were determined for clothing (+1.8%), too. Here the changeover from the winter to the spring collection played a decisive role and, to some extent, the end of seasonal sales.

Consumer price index for Germany in January 2016
Overall index / subindexWeightingIndex
2010 = 100
Change on
the same
period a
year earlier
Change on
the preceding
month
in per millin per cent
Overall index 1,000.00106.50.00.4
Food and non-alcoholic beverages102.71113.10.70.6
Food90.52113.20.80.7
Meat20.76113.00.30.1
Fruit8.76124.55.82.4
Vegetables11.26109.91.72.7
Alcoholic beverages and tobacco37.59114.42.1–0.2
Clothing and footwear44.93102.60.40.8
Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels317.29107.2–0.80.0
Net rent exclusive of heating expenses209.93107.41.10.1
Household energy68.19106.5–7.3–0.3
Electricity26.21125.1–0.20.0
Gas14.46107.7–2.5–0.2
Heating oil11.1163.4–33.6–0.5
Furnishings, household equipment and so on49.78103.71.00.1
Health44.44104.51.70.2
Transport134.73102.5–1.7–0.4
Motor fuels38.3784.7–11.0–2.2
Supergrade petrol28.3886.0–9.2–2.6
Diesel fuel9.1980.4–16.5–1.0
Communication30.1090.8–1.1–0.1
Recreation and culture114.92105.4–0.62.1
Package holidays26.83106.8–5.79.0
Education8.8094.11.60.1
Restaurants and hotels44.67112.22.10.1
Miscellaneous goods and services70.04108.41.40.2
Overall index 
Excluding heating oil and motor fuels950.52107.80.70.4
Excluding household energy931.81106.40.50.3
Excluding energy (household energy and motor fuels)893.44107.40.90.5
Goods479.77105.2–1.10.0
Non-durable consumer goods307.89107.5–2.20.0
including:
Energy106.5698.6–8.5–0.9
Services520.23107.60.90.6

  

Consumer price index for Germany
Overall index
________

Year / Month
Index
2010 = 100
Change on
the same
period a
year earlier
Change on
the preceding
month
in %
A = annual average
–= no figures or magnitude zero
2014 A106.60.9
2015 A106.90.3

2015

February106.50.10.9
March107.00.30.5
April107.00.50.0
May107.10.70.1
June107.00.3–0.1
July107.20.20.2
August107.20.20.0
September107.00.0–0.2
October107.00.30.0
November107.10.40.1
December107.00.3–0.1
2016January106.10.5–0.8
February106.50.00.4

Harmonised consumer price index for Germany

The harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) for Germany, which is calculated for European purposes, fell by 0.2% in February 2016 on February 2015. The index rose by 0.4% in February 2016 on January 2016. This confirmed the HICP estimates of 26 February 2016. The results of the HICP have been published on index base 2015 = 100 (before: 2005 = 100) since the end of February 2016.

Detailed data and long time series of consumer price statistics can also be found in the Genesis Online database in tables 61111-0004 and 61111-0006 (consumer price index) as well as in tables 61121-0002 and 61121-0004 (harmonised consumer price index).

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